NGC
1453, a giant elliptical galaxy situated in the constellation Eridanus,
was one of 63 galaxies used to calculate the expansion rate of the
local universe. Last year, the MASSIVE survey team determined that the
galaxy is located 166 million light years from Earth and has a black
hole at its center with a mass nearly 3 billion times that of the sun.
(Photo courtesy of the Carnegie-Irvine Galaxy Survey)
Determining how rapidly the
universe is expanding is key to
understanding our cosmic fate, but with more precise data has come a
conundrum: Estimates based on measurements within our local universe
don’t agree with extrapolations from the era shortly after the Big Bang
13.8 billion years ago.
A new estimate of the local expansion rate — the Hubble constant, or H0 (H-naught) — reinforces that discrepancy.
Using a relatively new and potentially more precise technique for
measuring cosmic distances, which employs the average stellar brightness
within giant elliptical galaxies as a rung on the distance ladder,
astronomers calculate a rate — 73.3 kilometers per second per
megaparsec, give or take 2.5 km/sec/Mpc — that lies in the middle of
three other good estimates, including the gold standard estimate from
Type Ia supernovae. This means that for every megaparsec — 3.3 million
light years, or 3 billion trillion kilometers — from Earth, the universe
is expanding an extra 73.3 ±2.5 kilometers per second. The average from
the three other techniques is 73.5 ±1.4 km/sec/Mpc.
Perplexingly, estimates of the local expansion rate based on measured
fluctuations in the cosmic microwave background and, independently,
fluctuations in the density of normal matter in the early universe
(baryon acoustic oscillations), give a very different answer: 67.4 ±0.5
km/sec/Mpc.
Astronomers are understandably concerned about this mismatch, because
the expansion rate is a critical parameter in understanding the physics
and evolution of the universe and is key to understanding dark energy —
which accelerates the rate of expansion of the universe and thus causes
the Hubble constant to change more rapidly than expected with
increasing distance from Earth. Dark energy comprises about two-thirds
of the mass and energy in the universe, but is still a mystery.
For the new estimate, astronomers measured fluctuations in the
surface brightness of 63 giant elliptical galaxies to determine the
distance and plotted distance against velocity for each to obtain H0.
The surface brightness fluctuation (SBF) technique is independent of
other techniques and has the potential to provide more precise distance
estimates than other methods within about 100 Mpc of Earth, or 330
million light years. The 63 galaxies in the sample are at distances
ranging from 15 to 99 Mpc, looking back in time a mere fraction of the
age of the universe.
“For measuring distances to galaxies out to 100 megaparsecs, this is a
fantastic method,” said cosmologist Chung-Pei Ma, the Judy Chandler
Webb Professor in the Physical Sciences at the University of California,
Berkeley, and professor of astronomy and physics. “This is the first
paper that assembles a large, homogeneous set of data, on 63 galaxies,
for the goal of studying H-naught using the SBF method.”
Ma leads the MASSIVE survey of local galaxies, which provided data
for 43 of the galaxies — two-thirds of those employed in the new
analysis.
The data on these 63 galaxies was assembled and analyzed by John
Blakeslee, an astronomer with the National Science Foundation’s NOIRLab. He is first author of a paper now accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal
that he co-authored with colleague Joseph Jensen of Utah Valley
University in Orem. Blakeslee, who heads the science staff that support
NSF’s optical and infrared observatories, is a pioneer in using SBF to
measure distances to galaxies, and Jensen was one of the first to apply
the method at infrared wavelengths. The two worked closely with Ma on
the analysis.
“The whole story of astronomy is, in a sense, the effort to
understand the absolute scale of the universe, which then tells us about
the physics,” Blakeslee said, harkening back to James Cook’s voyage to
Tahiti in 1769 to measure a transit of Venus so that scientists could
calculate the true size of the solar system. “The SBF method is more
broadly applicable to the general population of evolved galaxies in the
local universe, and certainly if we get enough galaxies with the James
Webb Space Telescope, this method has the potential to give the best
local measurement of the Hubble constant.”
The James Webb Space Telescope, 100 times more powerful than the Hubble Space Telescope, is scheduled for launch in October.
Giant elliptical galaxies
The Hubble constant has been a bone of contention for decades, ever
since Edwin Hubble first measured the local expansion rate and came up
with an answer seven times too big, implying that the universe was
actually younger than its oldest stars. The problem, then and now, lies
in pinning down the location of objects in space that give few clues
about how far away they are.
Hubble
Space Telescope images of giant elliptical galaxies like this one, NGC
1453, are used to determine surface brightness fluctuations and estimate
these galaxies’ distances from Earth. (Photo courtesy of the Space
Telescope Science Institute)
Astronomers over the years have laddered up to greater distances,
starting with calculating the distance to objects close enough that they
seem to move slightly, because of parallax, as the Earth orbits the
sun. Variable stars called Cepheids get you farther, because their
brightness is linked to their period of variability, and Type Ia
supernovae get you even farther, because they are extremely powerful
explosions that, at their peak, shine as bright as a whole galaxy. For
both Cepheids and Type Ia supernovae, it’s possible to figure out the
absolute brightness from the way they change over time, and then the
distance can be calculated from their apparent brightness as seen from
Earth.
The best current estimate of H0 comes from distances
determined by Type Ia supernova explosions in distant galaxies, though
newer methods — time delays caused by gravitational lensing of distant
quasars and the brightness of water masers orbiting black holes — all
give around the same number.
The technique using surface brightness fluctuations is one of the
newest and relies on the fact that giant elliptical galaxies are old and
have a consistent population of old stars — mostly red giant stars —
that can be modeled to give an average infrared brightness across their
surface. The researchers obtained high-resolution infrared images of
each galaxy with the Wide Field Camera 3 on the Hubble Space Telescope
and determined how much each pixel in the image differed from the
“average” — the smoother the fluctuations over the entire image, the
farther the galaxy, once corrections are made for blemishes like bright
star-forming regions, which the authors exclude from the analysis.
Neither Blakeslee nor Ma was surprised that the expansion rate came
out close to that of the other local measurements. But they are equally
confounded by the glaring conflict with estimates from the early
universe — a conflict that many astronomers say means that our current
cosmological theories are wrong, or at least incomplete.
The extrapolations from the early universe are based on the simplest
cosmological theory — called lambda cold dark matter, or CDM — which
employs just a few parameters to describe the evolution of the universe.
Does the new estimate drive a stake into the heart of CDM?
“I think it pushes that stake in a bit more,” Blakeslee said. “But it
(CDM) is still alive. Some people think, regarding all these local
measurements, (that) the observers are wrong. But it is getting harder
and harder to make that claim — it would require there to be systematic
errors in the same direction for several different methods: supernovae,
SBF, gravitational lensing, water masers. So, as we get more independent
measurements, that stake goes a little deeper.”
Ma wonders whether the uncertainties astronomers ascribe to their
measurements, which reflect both systematic errors and statistical
errors, are too optimistic, and that perhaps the two ranges of estimates
can still be reconciled.
“The jury is out,” she said. “I think it really is in the error bars.
But assuming everyone’s error bars are not underestimated, the tension
is getting uncomfortable.”
In fact, one of the giants of the field, astronomer Wendy Freedman,
recently published a study pegging the Hubble constant at 69.8 ±1.9
km/sec/Mpc, roiling the waters even further. The latest result from Adam
Riess, an astronomer who shared the 2011 Nobel Prize in Physics for
discovering dark energy, reports 73.2 ±1.3 km/sec/Mpc. Riess was a
Miller Postdoctoral Fellow at UC Berkeley when he performed this
research, and he shared the prize with UC Berkeley and Berkeley Lab
physicist Saul Perlmutter.
MASSIVE galaxies
The new value of H0 is a byproduct of two other surveys of
nearby galaxies — in particular, Ma’s MASSIVE survey, which uses space
and ground-based telescopes to exhaustively study the 100 most massive
galaxies within about 100 Mpc of Earth. A major goal is to weigh the
supermassive black holes at the centers of each one.
Another
image of the giant elliptical galaxy NGC1453, taken by Pan-STARRS, the
Panoramic Survey Telescope and Rapid Response System at the Haleakala
Observatory on the island of Maui in Hawaii.
To do that, precise distances are needed, and the SBF method is the
best to date, she said. The MASSIVE survey team used this method last
year to determine the distance to a giant elliptical galaxy, NGC 1453,
in the southern sky constellation of Eridanus. Combining that distance,
166 million light years, with extensive spectroscopic data from the
Gemini and McDonald telescopes — which allowed Ma’s graduate students
Chris Liepold and Matthew Quenneville to measure the velocities of the
stars near the center of the galaxy — they concluded that NGC 1453 has a
central black hole with a mass nearly 3 billion times that of the sun.
To determine H0, Blakeslee calculated SBF distances to 43
of the galaxies in the MASSIVE survey, based on 45 to 90 minutes of HST
observing time for each galaxy. The other 20 came from another survey
that employed HST to image large galaxies, specifically ones in which
Type Ia supernovae have been detected.
Most of the 63 galaxies are between 8 and 12 billion years old, which
means that they contain a large population of old red stars, which are
key to the SBF method and can also be used to improve the precision of
distance calculations. In the paper, Blakeslee employed both Cepheid
variable stars and a technique that uses the brightest red giant stars
in a galaxy — referred to as the tip of the red giant branch, or TRGB
technique — to ladder up to galaxies at large distances. They produced
consistent results. The TRGB technique takes account of the fact that
the brightest red giants in galaxies have about the same absolute
brightness.
“The goal is to make this SBF method completely independent of the
Cepheid-calibrated Type Ia supernova method by using the James Webb
Space Telescope to get a red giant branch calibration for SBFs,” he
said.
“The James Webb telescope has the potential to really decrease the
error bars for SBF,” Ma added. But for now, the two discordant measures
of the Hubble constant will have to learn to live with one another.
“I was not setting out to measure H0; it was a great product of our survey,” she said. “But I am a cosmologist and am watching this with great interest.”
Co-authors of the paper with Blakeslee, Ma and Jensen are Jenny
Greene of Princeton University, who is a leader of the MASSIVE team, and
Peter Milne of the University of Arizona in Tucson, who leads the team
studying Type Ia supernovae. The work was supported by the National
Aeronautics and Space Administration (HST-GO-14219, HST-GO-14654, HST
GO-15265) and the National Science Foundation (AST-1815417,
AST-1817100).
Related Information
By Robert Sanders
Source: Berkley News